Archive Monthly Archives: March 2017

This critical flaw haunts betting tipsters

I’ve been at the very heart of the tipster industry for over 20 years tracking down, recruiting and managing horse racing and sports betting tipsters.

And do you know their critical flaw?

They’re human.

Is that such a problem?

Yes, it is actually.

Because as you and I both know, to be human is to be emotional (to varying degrees).

And you’d be shocked by how many tipsters are too quick to let their emotions run wild.

In fact, what can really play havoc with them is the build-up of stress and pressure when they know paying subscribers are following their bets. It can mean they fall to pieces.

I’ve witnessed this first-hand many times since 1995, even after tipsters have passed every aspect of my lengthy behind-the-scenes due diligence process.

The truth is…

And this might surprise you…

Professional gamblers and sports betting experts winning money for themselves based on their specialist, in-depth knowledge is totally different from advising their bets to others. This is where the emotional cracks can definitely start to appear.

It’s a bit like knowing your lines for a play and then freezing when you’re thrown in front of a live audience.

When the stage lights have been switched on and a horse racing or sports betting advisory service I’ve been involved with has gone live and started to recruit members, I’ve seen tipsters panic and get rattled when results have been volatile…

Or they’ve felt incredibly guilty after a run of consecutive losers.

They’ve lost their focus and discipline and under or over-staked bets, or advised bets they wouldn’t necessarily have placed themselves because they thought members wanted action.

I even knew one very well-known professional who had to take a complete break from tipping bets because he was on the verge of a nervous breakdown.

That’s obviously a really bad situation for someone to get themselves in but it just shows you the stress tipsters can put themselves under to deliver profitable bets.

Stress and pressure are emotional killers in any walk of life, but especially so in the results-driven betting world.

Yes, you’d expect all tipsters to act like stone cold unemotional robots churning out the right bets at the right odds, but in my experience, this rarely happens.

Actually, having been around tipsters since 1995, only a minority have successfully transferred their money-making abilities from privately betting to publicly sharing their bets as part of a tipster operation…

And more importantly…

Kept their profits flowing over the long-term.

Now don’t me get wrong…

I’m not saying in this blog post that ALL human betting tipsters are emotional wrecks so don’t touch any of them with a bargepole. That would be utter nonsense.

In fact, every now and again, Winning Online will offer you opportunities where I’ve unearthed rare gems of emotionally resilient, top class professionals.

My key point about human tipsters is that as someone with an insider’s perspective of coming across hundreds of them over the years, the extent to which they suffer from their emotions just like regular punters shouldn’t be underestimated.

And when members who don’t necessarily understand the maths of professional betting demand winners…

Which in their eyes is why they’re handing over their hard-earned money in subscriptions…

The pressure to deliver the goods (and the profits) can become crippling for tipsters.

It can lead them to changing their proven strategies, second guessing their core beliefs and generally behaving too emotionally and failing to live up to expectations.

This is why I’ve been closely monitoring key trends within technology, computing and betting over the last couple of years…

And I’ve come to the conclusion that with a focus on sophisticated data intelligence strategies, advanced statistical techniques and the use of powerful technologies such as Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning…

I can help you increase your income by plugging you in to top-notch products and advisory services where “old-school betting tipsters” aren’t involved.

So stay in touch and come on this journey with me and Winning Online.

Cheers, Steve

Why Artificial Intelligence robot Libratus spells doom for poker players

If you’re looking for proof of how Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning technologies are seriously challenging…

And worryingly for humans(!)…

Even now surpassing human intelligence, guile and ingenuity then look no further than Libratus.

Built by computer science experts at Carnegie Mellon university, Libratus made poker history in January 2017 by taking on world class professionals at No Limit Texas Hold’Em and beating them over 20 straight days.

This Man vs Machine battle has been done many times before going back to when chess grandmaster Gary Kasparov played IBMs Deep Blue in 1996.

But this Libratus experiment was different.

Why?

Because Libratus used something called ‘reinforcement learning’ – basically, learning from scratch and then using trial-and-error to get better and better.

In fact, Libratus learnt and improved before, during and after each day’s play. It literally had an unfair advantage over the four players it challenged.

And what’s more…

And this is the really scary bit…

It knew how to bluff and when its opponents were bluffing!

As Wired said in their article of February 1st…

“It’s a powerful and rather unsettling proposition – a machine than can out-bluff a human”.

I dread to think what’s next for Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning!